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Prediction for CME (2014-06-10T13:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-06-10T13:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5733/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-06-13T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

:Issued: 2014 Jun 10 2126 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
The impulsive X2.2 flare peaking at 11:44 UT and originating from NOAA AR 2087 situated close to the east solar limb  was reported today. The flare was accompanied with narrow CME (angular width of about 70 degrees) which will not arrive at the Earth.

The same NOAA AR 2087 was also source of the long duration X1.5 flare which peaked at 12:52 UT and was associated with coronal dimmings, an EIT wave and a full halo CME. The CME was first seen in the SOHO LASCO C2 field of view at 13:25 UT and had a projected plane of the sky speed of about 1050 km/s. The majority of the CME mass was ejected eastward of the Sun-Earth line. However, the glancing blow associated with this CME can be expected at the Earth in the morning of June 13.

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Lead Time: 56.57 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-06-10T21:26Z

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